Food Crisis in Afghanistan

as of October 31, 2001

 

Afghanistan: the key figures
based on World Food Programme figures released 29 October

Report Prepared by Christian-Aid UK

 

These figures are liable to change according to assessments by WFP or information received from Christian Aid’s local partners.

1) How much food aid must be trucked in before the winter snows (mid November)?
Current number of recipients of food aid:

5,300,000

(UN estimate of potential need in future):  

7,500,000

       
Monthly requirement for 5.3 million people:

53,000

MT
Winter stockpile for NW and Central sectors:

67,000

MT
Total required for a month's supply and stockpile:

120,000

MT
Food already stored inside Afghanistan (at 17 October):

12,725

MT
Total transport requirement by mid-Nov

107,275

MT
2) What rate of transport is needed over the next 4 weeks if this total is to be achieved?
Say 30 days =

3,576

MT
3) So is enough food aid being transported into Afghanistan currently?

daily shortfall

% of
requirement

 

 
Daily average for 22-28 October 1,202 MT 2,374 MT 34%
Daily average for 15-21 October 861 MT 2,715 MT 24%
Daily average for October

786

MT

2,790

MT

22%

4) So is enough food aid being distributed in Afghanistan currently?
daily shortfall % of
requirement
   
Daily average for 22-28 October

1,313

MT

2,268

MT

37%

Daily average for 15-21 October

694

MT

2,881

MT

19%

Daily average for October

655

MT

2,920

MT

18%

       
5) So over the last two months is sufficient food being distributed?      
               
               
  required distributed

daily shortfall

  % of
requirement
Ongoing requirements only              
September

53,000

MT

13,497

MT

39,503

MT

25%

               
1-28 October

47,871

MT

18,351

MT

29,520

MT

38%

               
Two months (without winter stock-pile)

100,871

MT

31,848

MT

69,023

MT

32%

               
               
6) So what does the daily target for food distribution need to be before winter now?    
               
Total Food Needs requiring delivery by 17 November            
Ongoing distribution deficit as at 28 October

 

      69,023 MT  
               
Ongoing food requirements to 16 November

 

      28,267 MT  
               
Winter stockpile needed by 16 November

 

      67,000 MT  
               
Distribution target over remaining days to 16 November         164,290 MT  
               
Remaining days

 

    19 days    
               
Average amount required per day 29 Oct - 16 Nov

8,647

MT          

 

 

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